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Lil' Wolf I: Party On, Wolves
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Vroendal
  • Former Citizen
  • Birdbrain...
  • Alright, I'm getting very nervous now.

    @Doc where you at? You've been more active than most others, and with what seems to me to be good reasoning, why keep silence now? The fact that both tau AND you are keeping quiet seems like a bad sign to me.
    Vroendal
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    taulover
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  • tau and Sapph, who do you think the human team is? You don't have to be sure, you don't have to be right, just state three names.
    If I'm being completely honest I'm not really reading anyone as Human particularly, I mostly just have people I think are villagers, and the remaining people being null reads.

    So (these are not in any particular order, mostly just ordered by going down through the player list in the OP):
    Seem to be villager based on behavior: Doc, Sapph
    Seemingly mechanically cleared: Vroendal, Hydra
    Null: cozmik, Nyght (Sapph has made interesting mechanical arguments for Nyght as defender but I haven't taken the time to think about it), TGN, Gerrick, Anubhav, Robin

    I haven't liked arguments made by NyghtOwl and Gerrick, but that's NAI.

    Hydra's and Robin's behaviors seem in line with the "old people who are busy" crowd. Something similar might also apply to cozmik, but I'm not familiar with her at all. Also the last-minute Gerrick vote was weird, especially after mechanically presumed villager (i.e. Vroendal) insisted that everyone vote for me. But that could just be chalked down to not thinking through Sapph's Hydra/Vroendal argument, since cozmik seems possibly busy.

    As stated in previous days, TGN's behavior and writing style just confuse me.
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    taulover
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    Vroendal
  • Former Citizen
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  • Thank you, those who responded.

    Vote - Doc

    Your silence is scaring me more than anything else right now. I need town Doc to participate, town Doc would participate, so where is town Doc?
    Vroendal
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    Michi
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  • This is a friendly reminder:

    @NyghtOwl @BraveSirRobin @TGN @Hydra

    Remember to vote this phase since you're at risk.
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    Gerrick
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  • DEAD

    Anubhav Ghosh: Gerrick -----> Vroendal -----> Sapphiron
    Gerrick: Hydra ------> Sapphiron -----> Taulover
    Doc: No Lynch -----> Sapphiron
    Vroendal: Gerrick -----> Taulover
    Sapphiron: Gerrick
    Taulover: Gerrick
    Cozmikrae: Gerrick

    Totals:
    Sapphiron: 2
    Taulover: 2
    Gerrick: 3
    No votes: 4

    Didn't vote: NyghtOwl, TGN, BraveSirRobin, Hydra

    And with that, Gerrick has been chosen to leave the party.  He was A Wolf Friend.

    And now it's Quiet Time! So tuck yourselves in, get a glass of warm milk, and enjoy a nice nap.  Power Wolves, you know what you do.  Humans, send me your choice of bullying target (you monsters) for tonight.

    This phase will end in 24 hours from this post.

    @taulover Yo, I'm dead. ^
    1 person likes this post: taulover

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    Gerrick
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    cozmikrae
  • Former Citizen
  • I think we need to explore the no lynch fans , and Sapph .
    From a skim through the search function, the "No Lynch fans" as far as I can tell are -
    Doc, BSR said it had some merit but preferred Lau's aggressive approach more, yourself, Hydra, tau saw No Lynch as the conventional wisdom but was hesitant to use it, cozmikrae, Doc x2.

    If you want to get the thread moving again, you yourself should explore them. Saying that we need to do something is all good and well, but you've been a bit quiet lately with your own reasoning since players stopped pushing you. Why do you think we need to explore the no lynch fans and Sapph?

    As of being quite , I miss the activity which was once present in this game , the game got chiller . I am chasing Sapph because when ENE and I were in a dilemma that Lau might be a scum , Sapph came in and played catalyst . As for the no lynch party , I don't know if they are buying Doc's idea of alternative no lynch , or they are a part of Seer squad . All in all , I think amongst the believers of Doc's theory , hides atleast one scum . I had suspicions against cozmik , her behaviour seemed awefully blunt to me .

    Why is blunt cause for suspicion? I thought being blunt and truthful was what we want from town players.

    Well, one thing to categorically state right off the bat:

    Vro is Town. Don't vote for him. If he becomes a majority today and you waste your 4 posts and can't unvote, you'd better believe you'll be on my shit list forever.
    @Vroendal Do you know why was Lau so convinced you were town here?

    cozmikrae
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    cozmikrae
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  • tau and Sapph, who do you think the human team is? You don't have to be sure, you don't have to be right, just state three names.

    BSR, Nyght, what are your thoughts?

    cozmik, how will you proceed today after the results of last day phase?

    Doc, Anubhav, what are the vote counts telling you?

    TGN, Hydra, you didn't say anything yesterday, why is that?



    If any of you would like to speak beyond what I've asked you, that would be very beneficial to town.

    The lack of activity is making it hard to figure out what my next steps should be, so I'm not sure. I don't have any interesting reads at this point.
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    Sapphiron
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  • In the meantime, Vote: cozmikrae
    Sapphiron
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    BraveSirRobin
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  • My Dear Jean-Luc!
  • Huh.  Sorry got super bummed out about the game once LoS and Lau left.  :'(

    Umm... I'll vote: TGN to get him to analyze and also to avoid inactivity lynch.

    I'll also hopefully be available later in the week for actual analysis and stuff too :)
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    BraveSirRobin
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    taulover
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  • DEAD

    @taulover Yo, I'm dead.
    Ah fuck and I even voted for you

    Sorry

    Well, one thing to categorically state right off the bat:

    Vro is Town. Don't vote for him. If he becomes a majority today and you waste your 4 posts and can't unvote, you'd better believe you'll be on my shit list forever.
    @Vroendal Do you know why was Lau so convinced you were town here?
    Okay, now I'm really confused. You liked Sapph's post explaining this last day phase, so you definitely know what's going on, and saw the reactions. Vro hasn't addressed this point explicitly despite it already being brought up, are you expecting this to change? I can't tell if you've legitimately lost track of the major development last day phase (but you literally liked the post that outed this info) or if you're just trying to imply such.
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    taulover
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    cozmikrae
  • Former Citizen
  • In the meantime, Vote: cozmikrae

    Vote: Sapphiron

    DEAD

    @taulover Yo, I'm dead.
    Ah fuck and I even voted for you

    Sorry

    Well, one thing to categorically state right off the bat:

    Vro is Town. Don't vote for him. If he becomes a majority today and you waste your 4 posts and can't unvote, you'd better believe you'll be on my shit list forever.
    @Vroendal Do you know why was Lau so convinced you were town here?
    Okay, now I'm really confused. You liked Sapph's post explaining this last day phase, so you definitely know what's going on, and saw the reactions. Vro hasn't addressed this point explicitly despite it already being brought up, are you expecting this to change? I can't tell if you've legitimately lost track of the major development last day phase (but you literally liked the post that outed this info) or if you're just trying to imply such.

    Are you talking about this post?

    Spoiler
    Because I believe Lau was the N1 seer scan, it implies his town core is mechanically cleared - Hydra (Seer) and Vro (ENE being N2 seer scan). I still have to look back to see if LOS cleared anybody else with highest probability of being his defender partner, but for the time being

    Vote: Gerrick

    I liked it because I liked the mention of checking out who LoS's partner likely was. I'm not sure what you're getting at?
    cozmikrae
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    Vroendal
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  • Birdbrain...
  • I'm not a fan of either Sapph or cozmik being wagons today, I have my reasons, but I think those considering or voting those two need to reconsider.
    Vroendal
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    cozmikrae
  • Former Citizen
  • I'm not a fan of either Sapph or cozmik being wagons today, I have my reasons, but I think those considering or voting those two need to reconsider.

    I'm gonna be out of posts soon...

    Are you voting for Doc purely for reactionary reasons or because you think he's scum?
    cozmikrae
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    Vroendal
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  • Birdbrain...
  • I'm not a fan of either Sapph or cozmik being wagons today, I have my reasons, but I think those considering or voting those two need to reconsider.

    I'm gonna be out of posts soon...

    Are you voting for Doc purely for reactionary reasons or because you think he's scum?
    I want a reaction from him, and that will determine if I really think he's scum. I've definitely pulled him down from my previous town-lean. His silence is a very scary thing to me right now in comparison to his previous activity. I'm liking this choice more than many others right now.
    1 person likes this post: cozmikrae
    Vroendal
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    Doc
  • Citizen
  • Alright, I'm getting very nervous now.
    Doc where you at? You've been more active than most others, and with what seems to me to be good reasoning, why keep silence now? The fact that both tau AND you are keeping quiet seems like a bad sign to me.
    Ah. Shit, my b, the game got really boring without Lau and LoS driving activity and constantly spamming shit and I kinda sorta just forgot about it. Good job pinging me or I'd have just straight up probably have wound up inactivity lynched TBH. Kinda shittily ignominious way to go.

    That said, today has basically nothing new to work off of, aside from one noteworthy point that basically nobody has brought up: there was no lynch last night, meaning scum targeted either Hydra or Vro (i.e. the two Sapph flagged as Seer and Squad Member), and whichever of the two they targeted was probably the Actual Seer, and the defenders caught the block (unless both succumbed to the exact same WIFOM reasoning of 'I'm going to block/target whoever is probably not the Seer as a defender dodge/to stop the defender dodge'. With that in mind, one of them is going to wind up dead tonight, because now that we're down a defender and given the fact that defenders can't defend the same target consecutively, they only have to hit the target again and they're dead.
    Either way, that tells me the 'let the Seer solve' strat is now dead in the water, because the likeliest possibility is the Seer dies tonight.

    Vote Tracker:
    Vroendal: Doc
    Sapph: Cozmikrae
    BSR: TGN
    Cozmikrae: Sapph

    Vote Count:
    Doc - Vroendal (1)
    Cozmikrae - Sapphiron (1)
    TGN - BSR (1)
    Sapphiron - Cozmikrae (1)

    At present, I've no need for an OMGUS vote or a 'you're not in my POE but better you than me' vote to save myself because it's a four-way tie, and it's been established there's no RNG tiebreaker lynch.
    That said, at present my readlist is as follows:

    Essentially Mechanically Cleared:
    Vro, Hydra

    Town Core:
    Myself

    Townlean:
    BSR, Cozmikrae, Nyght

    Null:
    Anubhav, Taulover, TGN

    Scumlean:
    Sapphiron

    The only reason I'm not basically entirely convinced Sapph is scum is that, as noted, his move was TWTBAW and 'could' be considered basically the definition of a derp clear, but considering his experience, I'm also not convinced that he can be derp cleared outside of a 'wow, I straight up was not thinking, I must have been high or something, holy shit'.
    But the 4 names at the bottom end of the list give a reasonably clear POE; the only question is which of the two presently on the chopping block would be more useful.
    We're reaching the point at which warm bodies are at a premium (we're at 10 people rn and 3 scum; assuming an NK goes off tonight, we'll be at 8 people tomorrow, which means if we mislynch then, we probably lose (unless the defender absolutely clutches it out)). Complicating the matter/worsening it, an IL is...likely, given the time of day it presently is and what time EoD is (both Nyght and TGN are up for it, as is Hydra but I assume he's Seer-lurking to make his vote count properly), meaning we may actually be at lynch-or-lose tomorrow.
    Thus, in the absence of any certitude one way or the other (though now would be a great time to point it out if you have it, non-Seer), I have to vote for the IL candidate.

    Vote: TGN
    Proud Burner
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