This is also something I am wondering about after reading through posts on the topic.
For now I will use my No Lynch vote but that will change later on since I am sure some other players will eventually look more suspicious.
Melehan has been triggering some of my suspicion because from what I remember when reading and playing previous Werewolf games, the players who were committed to a role in all of their posts were usually evil or just hiding something. Hapi in the last game proved an exception to the evil players posting in character but I think the Batman game had a few cases like that (and then there are the "generic Batman quotes").
There's nothing specific that pings me in this post but there's not a whole lot accomplished either. Mostly saying they sus Mekehan and then arguing against their sus on Melehan and then saying they want to NL. Seems more likely a wolf makes this post trying to fit in and not post many opinions of their own.
An updated vote track. As of Vroendal's count it was like this:
Hapi 2 (Red, Melehan)
Red 2 (Hapi, cozmikrae)
Michi 2 (Gerrick, Vroendal)
Wintermoot 1 (NyghtOwl)
Doc 1 (Ruguo)
Vroendal 1 (Sapphiron)
Sapphiron 1 (TGN)
Ruguo then voted for Michi to apply some pressure.
Not sure if TGN's post after that was voting for Michi since they had their vote on Sapphiron and then said Unvote: Michi.
NyghtOwl then changed their vote to Hapi thinking Wintermoot was just like voting a third party candidate and citing the potential for chaos.
Then TGN changed their vote to a joke vote on Laurentus. (for editing a post)
Then I made my No Lynch vote (pending more information).
Hapi then changed their vote to cozmikrae. (jumping on a joke wagon but not convincing Hapi why)
Hapi 3 (Red, Melehan, NyghtOwl)
Red 1 (cozmikrae)
Michi 3 (Gerrick, Vroendal, Ruguo)
Vroendal 1 (Sapphiron)
Laurentus 1 (TGN)
cozmikrae 1 (Hapi)
No Lynch 1 (Kane)
I will check this game later but now I am going to focus on school stuff.
While this is very useful, it is also actually the post that first pinged me on Kane when I was reading. Seems like IIoA (information instead of analysis) where a beginner wolf tries to look universally helpful by spending a lot of time posting objective facts like the posts below. It's not wolfy that Kane is posting info posts like these, and they are very helpful, but it is wolfy that a good proportion of Kane's posts are completely objective info with no strong opinions of his own.
While I would rather vote No Lynch, I am not actually planning to. I am just using it as a placeholder which I thought I made clear with that wording. Also what information could I hand out without pinning a target on me? It is only D1.
This is a really weird thing for a townsperson to think / say and emphasises the blending in mindset I saw before. I don't see why a townsperson would want to blend in like this.
The main player I am not at all suspicious of so far is NyghtOwl. I like their original voting justification so for now I will go off of that in case I am not active before the day ends. BSR seems a bit too quiet so far but they haven't been online for a while so that is somewhat excusable. I really don't have any plausible suspicions so far. Just weak suspicions of Robin, Melehan, and Minish. I just have a gut feeling with Minish for some reason. Neither Hapi nor Michi seem scummy to me. Everyone else is generally on the same level as Hapi and Michi, neither suspicious nor not suspicious.
I will vote BraveSirRobin for now since they fit the bill and I wonder if they are doing what I often do: view the forums without logging in.
The argument on BSR is very weak here... so why are they still tunneling this person on D4? Kane even makes an excuse for BSR in this post. I also want to draw attention to the NyghtOwl read as not being anything original because Nyght was probably the most consensus town read at this point in the thread. I also don't think that this person is partnered with Nyght (although to be honest Nyght is probably just town anyway so this shouldn't matter much).
I think I now understand why I always seem so suspicious to yall when I play. (Even if I don't seem that suspicious yet for once) My meta seems to be suspicious overall. I am usually somewhat quiet whether I am town or scum. Whether or not there are neutral roles, I am definitely a tightwad when it comes to giving information which is probably partially out of paranoia that I will immediately be targeted by enemies or breaking the rules if I open up. Plus I tend to get rather defensive (maybe not as much as Aragonn though).
A notable part of my meta that is not too hard to confirm by reading through past games is that I tend to avoid wagons unless I agree with them (regardless of which side I am on) or I feel the need to join them for self preservation. Also I tend to vote off of hunches when I make my votes unless the reasons for a vote seem sound and I agree with them enough to vote the same. Seeing how big talking seems to be, I understand why I tend to be suspicious. When asked, I will say I am innocent but can not confirm (who wouldn't in this kind of game).
For talk about the meta of others. I have read a few of the previous games and Gerrick seems to be the meta I feel I have the best understanding of. That meta seems to be always relatively quiet and contributing to discussions and then either someone realizing they are scum or someone taking them out at night (Though this is mostly from looking at Star Wars, Batman, and Game of Thrones).
I may have some idea of Red's meta but he has played quite a few games I have not been in so I am not sure. The Game of Thrones meta I remember was being quiet except to vote and sometimes discussing with their votes being primarily joining wagons (mostly at the Wall when they were scum). I think some good points were made earlier about Red on both sides so I won't vote them. I am a little less suspicious of Minish now but still have a lingering gut suspicion (getting vibes from that Portal Werewolf when we were both scum). Otherwise, there isn't really any new suspicions to note. Though I had forgotten about Wintermoot being quiet earlier for some reason.
For now I will keep my vote in place.
The defence part of this post pinged me at first for being wolfy although I'm not really sure how I feel about it now. I don't think saying that they do wolfy things as town really defends a lot of the things I've noticed so far more.
Oh hi Kane. Why don't I remember a single one of your posts from D1?
Answer: I'm clearly inept at remember who all is playing. Carry on.
Don't worry about it Ruguo. There have been quite a few posts so far. Not as much as other games but there was definitely a lot in the posts.
This interaction feels pretty forced. Could see these two as w/w.
[Well I won't be making as big of a post as I was planning to since I need to wake up earlier this morning. Because of that, this will not be as elaborate as I would hope.
My opposition to both the Michi and Hapi wagons yesterday was because I did not feel either were sus in any way yet. I still do not see them as sus (makes sense for the latter since they were offed and revealed) but there have been some very good points made with the analyses of the wagons and their participants. I am nearing a point where Michi could a target of my vote.
Some of the players I am finding difficult to analyze include: Melehan, Vroendal, Minish, ENE, and Wischland. Vroendal I have a fair bit of suspicion towards but they appear to be defending themselves well. Melehan keeps flip flopping in my view between town and scum leaning with the different analyses and RP/flavor posts. Minish has been quite helpful towards the town but at the same time, I have a nagging suspicion that they are playing a part as scum. Wischland and Alexander Valentine and ENE have not posted enough for me to get a read of them based off what I have read so far. I have a suspicion that somewhere in the group of BraveSirRobin, Wintermoot, Red, Vroendal, Minish, Ogun and others I am not thinking of right now; there is at least one Titan. This is very much an unproved gut or vibe suspicion though. I also wonder with Melehan and Vroendal how much of their post liking with the arguments for and against their suspiciousness is indicative of players being onto something with regards to their leanings.
I would say TGN is null with a slight town lean so far. While they keep making posts and votes that are explained away as jokes, something about them makes me think they are not that suspicious so far.
Nyght, Anubhav, and cozmikrae are now in a sort of town lock position for the moment (temporarily with Anubhav since they haven't posted much but they are newly substituted and those posts have me convinced). While I am not convinced of Red's suspiciousness or non suspicion, their defense combined with what I have seen of cozmik are making me think they are a player adjusting to this town setting but fitting in and trying to contribute.
As a summary of these reads.
Town Lock
NyghtOwl (Are you playing us though?)
cozmikrae ()
Anubhav Ghosh (this probably won't last long, I am being generous since they are more of a lean but that remains to be seen)
Town Lean
Wintermoot (somewhat suspicious but you seem to be triggering my gut a little less than the others)
TGN (reminds me of some of my own early games, more chaotic and less suspicious and not triggering my alarms)
Michi (they seem to just be defending themselves and their resigned defense reminds me of a lot of mislynches)
Gerrick (so far they have yet to set off an alarm)
Null or not much of a read.
Wischland (haven't seen much from their posts)
Eastern New England (not as inactive but haven't seen much from their posts)
Ogun of Valeria (same as Melehan)
Melehan (Just don't know)
Ruguo (same as the previous two)
Alexander Valentine (no activity)
Sapphiron (not sure even with I have read and remember)
Red Mones (not as conflicting as the others but somewhat town leading and conflicting)
Scum Lean
BraveSirRobin (the defense did help but I need to reread it some more, really more of a null until that time)
Conflicting Reads (definitely need more analysis since I am seeing signs of both sides or thinking I am seeing them)
Minish (not suspicious in their posts but for some reason they are reminding me of when we were both wolves and seem to be holding something back (though that is normally not suspicious to me))
Doc (I seem to be seeing a mixture of town and scum reads from my mind and others and I am being reminded of The Wall when they were scum)
Vroendal (Appears to simultaneously be scum leaning and town leaning)]
Probably Kane's best post and most of the reads seem fair. I want to point out two that stand out however. The NyghtOwl read has some unnecessary shade for... no reason? Weird, since Kane said they're not suspicious of Nyght at all earlier. The read on BSR is way too weak to justify how strongly Kane is tunneling them.
This day sure flew by fast and it was not fun (not the phase (though that was a lot to read through and I definitely have not studied it much)). He is/was a similar case to a few of the people who I marked as null or not much to go off of in that there is a bit to go off of, but I have not been able to get a read off of their posts yet.
I could be willing to go along with the Ruguo and Vroendal votes but I am not that suspicious of either one at the moment. I will just vote for the one who I am most suspicious of right now.
Vote BSR
Just the right amount of distancing from Ruguo that I would expect from one of their partners. You can tell he doesn't want to vote for Ruguo here... "go along". If Kane is a wolf, Vro is probably town because I think Kane probably lists one wolf and one town in his list of two.
I was not actually intending to No Lynch and I did not officially use it since I changed my vote to BSR. My reason for the early defensive posts is just to start preparing a defense early since I usually seem to be suspicious which often results in some wagon danger.
That is true that I only voted for BSR, my reasoning for that was because I did not see agree with the major wagons that were up on those days (I found out how wrong that belief was last day phase but was correct on the first day phase). The only reason I ever join those wagons is because I fully agree or mostly agree and find them suspicious. Otherwise, I vote for someone else who I find suspicious despite it not making a difference. That is just how I vote normally, sorry if that makes you suspicious of me. The reason I have not pressured them in this day phase is because I have not been online for most of this day phase. Yesterday, I simply did not open up this website or log in because I was starting on some assignments and watching some shows. The one post I did make (https://wintreath.com/forums/index.php?topic=7019.msg156651#msg156651), I think explains well enough why I did not vote at that point in time.
Bold is the wolfiest thing I have read all game. If you're town, you shouldn't be this paranoid about getting lynched as soon as D1 starts. I don't like the explanation for the BSR vote, it only amounts to BSR being suspicious for unknown reasons and not wanting to vote Michi / Hapi (this feels like wolf reasoning, a wolf not wanting to vote either Michi or Hapi because when one dies and is revealed to be town Kane wouldn't want to be suspected for it). Certainly don't think this justifies the BSR tunnel.
Every other post I don't really have anything to comment on.