Alright, I think that everyone needs to take a step back and calm down. I've been away for a while and I see a couple pages of new posts, so I'm going to have to examine everything.
Mayhaps it actually is a member of House Valeria trying to cover their tracks.
I totally get why you think it might be a member of House Valeria. I do too.
As for Aragonn, IIRC, he's always super active during werewolf games, and defends himself in a fairly logical manner by pointing out Melehan's lack of evidence. It's true, both Aragonn and Melehan both don't have that much evidence to go on, but to be frank, that's the best we have. And his response to Melehan makes sense, as the best way to defend yourself is to find another suspect with more damning evidence. This is the way he plays, and he knows to vote for Valeria as he (correctly) has in previous games. Now he is Valeria himself and I'm not discounting that, but for now, I believe his input is an asset at this point.
In my opinion, Doc had an interesting Wintermoot theory that was fairly convincing. However, I don't like how he switched to Aragonn within minutes, but I totally understand if he missed something and just wanted to look back. However, I don't really get how he implicated Aragonn in the first place. All I saw was him voting such that Doc wouldn't be lynched first round as always.
Anyway, at this point my gut is still pointing toward a Valerian for murdering tau in cold blood, putting it either on Laurentus or Aragonn. Laurentus has been pushing
hard to get Aragonn lynched, while the bandwagon on Aragonn has circumstantial evidence at best in my opinion. I don't see what Laurentus means by Aragonn "trying to distance himself from the Mathy kill". As I said before, I also still don't get how Doc implicated Aragonn in the first place. From there it's just been a chain of Melehan, Laurentus,
Red Mones, and Gerrick, with Laurentus' vote placed (since he's always active) in a way that helps perpetuate the bandwagon (not too close to the beginning but not too close to the end to be accused of bandwagoning).
Therefore, here is my suspicious list in no particular order:
1. Laurentus (he's a Valerian)
2. Gerrick (voted jokingly without much explanation)
3. Wintermoot (Doc makes an interesting point)
4. Doc (but he's not acting on his points)
5. Melehan (reaction to Aragonn seems a bit off, but then again I'm not as familiar with their playstyle/reactions as I am with Aragonn's)
6. Aragonn (he's a Valerian)
I'm going to
Vote: Laurentus. While he always plays actively and aggressively, he's a bit
too deliberate in his actions, knowing the reactions he would get.