So I have three scum leans at the moment with a few nulls.
First up is Sapph. Who straight out revealed our sweet and kinda screwed the pooch on that one. Which seems pretty humany. But Vro seems sure they aren't so I'm willing to go along with that for now.
Anub has been really off all game and I just haven't been able to follow their train of though this game, which is weird because in AoT they were concise and to the point. (Even if it was the wrong point)
And for some reason I can't remember at the time Taul was ringing a bell. I think it had something to do with being really on board with Doc's no lynch plan. I do remember them saying it was because their a more old school player but that could easily be a cover that was suggested for them.
As of this moment it all feels very circumstantial so I'm not sure where I'm gonna land. I'm leaning towards Anub but I could be swayed.
With Sapph, the thing is that the humans would actually have absolutely no reason to reveal the Seer to the thread precisely because it's a very suspicious move. Doc jumped on Sapph's reasoning lightning-fast, which wouldn't make sense either unless he specifically wanted to lynch a fellow human, which doesn't really jive because Doc was already being widely townread, and Gerrick was a major townie wagon with a good amount of reasoning to back it up as being justifiable. Why start a wagon to try and lynch a fellow human in that situation? Also, a human wants to be seen as townie so they don't get lynched, so generally they don't try to make very suspicious posts for no real reason. As Sapph said before if he really was a human he could just nightkill the Seer without revealing to the town+defender who it was, and thusly have no suspicion on him while also having a lower risk that the defender definitely protects the Seer that night. I'm never 100% sure on my reads unless they're mechanical, but I'm pretty sure I'm right here, and wouldn't even consider that I've been wrong until we're in the late game and he isn't dead already.
I definitely agree with you regarding Anubhav. That point is a very concerning one I've been considering.
Your point about tau seems legit to me.
As I said before, my current process of elimination places tau, BSR, and Anubhav as possible humans. I definitely want to hear from BSR today, hence my vote for him, but I am willing to vote any of these three if evidence I like stacks up against them. I'm more suspicious of tau than Anubhav at the moment though.
@Vroendal
Any thoughts of Coz ? Also I have no potential ways to see into TGN and Hydra , they are too inactive to get a read on
I think cozmik is a townie. TGN is inactive, but you could always go back and read his earlier posts. Hydra died last night! Where've you been? This actually really makes me think you're scum trying to play it off like you're not aware of the game Which townie doesn't notice or at least assume the Seer is very likely to die if there was no kill last day phase and I'm not dead today? That's super sus to me, Anubhav. Your point about asking for a scan seems good though, even if the Seer was revealed after getting a scum result on you, with two defenders alive they could definitely make a push on you, potentially revealing themselves to the humans, but also allowing the defenders to rotate protecting them, meaning they wouldn't be nightkilled even after showing the humans who they are and attempting to get a human lynched.
It's super weird that both tau and BSR haven't been online for a while, I'm not sure what that entails.
