Poll

Do you want to start lynching by majority this round?

Yes
7 (87.5%)
No
1 (12.5%)

Total Members Voted: 8

Voting closed: February 24, 2021, 10:57:44 AM


Pages: 1 ... 110 [111] 112 ... 123

Werewolf 24: Attack on Titan
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Legacy of Smiles
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  • I think I ride or die on ExLight being town.
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  • Okay so I think the best cause of action at this stage of the game is to get everyone to rank the five non-confirmed people in order of how likely they are to be town.

    Top to bottom:

    ExLight
    Doc
    NyghtOwl
    Gerrick
    Wintermoot
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    NyghtOwl
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  • My ranking would be ex, legacy, doc, Gerrick, and then Wintermoot.
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  • Wait lol we literally all forgot Red existed
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  • The 'new information' that Red exists in mind,

    Ex
    LoS
    Nyght
    Red
    Gerrick
    Moot

    Sorry for triple post I didn't sleep great and it's early
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    Legacy of Smiles
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  • Wait lol we literally all forgot Red existed

    On Night 3, Anubhav and Vroendel both protected Red Mones. The kill was blocked.

    On Night 7, Anubhav and Vroendel both protected me. The kill was blocked.

    Both stated who they protected on both of those nights in thread and there were no kills so unless I'm missing something then both me and Red should be confirmed. That's why I initially left out Red on my own list.
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    ExLight
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  • Wait lol we literally all forgot Red existed
    he’s likely cleared from being targeted by both defenders on the same night.

    Ex
    Doc
    Nyght
    Gerrick
    Moot

    lol, the fact everyone’s list is the same is making me a bit anxious.
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  • Does a Ruguo/Michi/Gerrick/Moot team make sense in terms of voting/interactions?
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  • Oh, that reasoning makes sense.

    As for your worries Ex...on the one hand justifiable but on the other it may also basically be the only rational PoE now.

    I think a lot of things would be clearer if we had the exact mechanics for how the defenders operated (were they in contact? Did they have 1 collective action or independent actions? Were they informed of successful block or not?) but Lau is unlikely to provide those details. I'm operating under the assumption that they were eithet not in contact, which is why their lists overlap twice but not D1 (since if Anubhav had actually defended Mel N2 as he suggested then the NK wouldn't have gone off, implying he actually did so N1), or they were in contact and informed of successful block (and both elected to claim credit for RM/LoS in order to bait scum to NK them while intending to self/mutual-protect).
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  • Oh, that reasoning makes sense.

    As for your worries Ex...on the one hand justifiable but on the other it may also basically be the only rational PoE now.

    I think a lot of things would be clearer if we had the exact mechanics for how the defenders operated (were they in contact? Did they have 1 collective action or independent actions? Were they informed of successful block or not?) but Lau is unlikely to provide those details. I'm operating under the assumption that they were eithet not in contact, which is why their lists overlap twice but not D1 (since if Anubhav had actually defended Mel N2 as he suggested then the NK wouldn't have gone off, implying he actually did so N1), or they were in contact and informed of successful block (and both elected to claim credit for RM/LoS in order to bait scum to NK them while intending to self/mutual-protect).

    Ok so Vro actually answered a lot of these questions I think:

    Defenders in contact - No, Vro suspected Anubhav Anubhav strongly in one of his final posts.

    One collective action - Presumably not because the defenders were not in contact.

    Informed of successful block - I think Vro explicitly confirmed this early on into the game where he was hinting and said he asked Lau for role details on the defender.
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  • Edit: Vro confirmed the defenders were NOT informed.
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    Legacy of Smiles
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  • I agree that I think it was most likely that Anubhav defended Melehan N1. I think Mel was a lot more likely to have been attacked than Gerrick as Gerrick was relatively inactive.
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  • Why would wolf-Gerrick kill cozmik over Nyght?
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    Yeah then I'll double down on the PoE we have.

    The reason I was asking those question is because it's an unfortunate truth that in games where 1) I'm scum and 2) Gerrick isn't, that we generally 3) attempt to kill him as quickly as physically possible. The fact that he has survived until now indicates that at least one of those things isn't true.
    What clinches for me that Gerrick is likely scum, however, is that in his PoE, he pins Nyght - who he's previously townread and who's basically collectively towncleared at this point - below Moot, for whom the exact opposite holds true. If he'd bussed Moot, or, hell, even attempted to pin it on me, I'd have felt a lot less sure, but he didn't, so here we are.

    So the thing is at present we have 4 votes (at least theoretically, since there's 4 matching PoEs, unless someone gets paranoid and develops cold feet). Thing is, I don't think we should hammer at least until we give Red a chance to weigh in, just on the off-chance we've missed something. Not like there's much harm in waiting even a whole-ass 24 hours, since there's still 80% of the day phase left.
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