Legacy: who are two candidates for defender/nightkill targets N1 just based on your knowledge of the players and the interactions D1? If you can, narrow it down to one.
Ok so from a brief skim back, it looks like the only consensus town read on D1 that I can see is Nyght. There are also four active, strong players in Minish, Melehan, Red Mones and Vroendel with Red and Mel being the most active/leadery. These are the five people I had narrowed it down to being in my head.
Out of the two, my top picks would be Nyght and Melehan. I think Nyght is the most likely to be protected and Melehan the most likely to be attacked.
Nyght is the towniest person in the game as this point so will be an obvious defender magnet but they aren't a particularly active player so I'm not sure how much of a threat the scumteam would see them as. Also think them being an obvious defender magnet might mean that the wolves don't bother attacking them.
I think Melehan could have been a likely nightkill target. Consensus read on her was high, she was one of the most active players, she was suspicious of Ruguo and then she was killed N2 (so wolves definitely wanted her dead - not sure if wolves attack the same person twice in a row though after being protected, this is the only thing that puts me off a bit). Probably less likely to be protected as not many people seem to have strongky townread her but I think it's possible.
So if I had to rank, Melehan>Nyght>Red>Minish/Vro on who I think was most likely to have been successfully defended from the kill on N1.
I'll get to my EoD thoughts in a moment sorry I was expecting this to be a low-effort post.