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Mayhaps it actually is a member of House Valeria trying to cover their tracks.

That said, I don't see a joke vote on day 3 being much better than choosing not to lynch. Do you have some other reason for voting for Hydra, @HappySpin?

Like you said, we need to see voting patterns, and if we don't start voting people, the werewolves will pick us all of during the night. By voting people, we can see who defends who (as you are defending Hydra) and use this information. If we keep voting "no lynch", the werewolves will win!

So it's a reaction test?

Y'know what? I'll act on my trail of thought.

Vote: Hydra

Mathy's made one substantive post, spoilered below.

To save room

I haven't been as active on the forums as the Discord, but it was mostly that I don't see much point to discussion on the first day. You either get targeted by an inexperienced wolf who decides to kill the first person who talks, or you get suspicion thrown around the first day. This is why I am usually silent on the first day.

I could definitely see how Tau's death points to the werewolf being an experienced werewolf player. But with three werewolves, it was very likely from the get-go that at least one wouldn't be a noob.

I don't think anything so far has been super revealing. Doc and Lau made that truce before the game started, Wintermoot seemed like a random enough vote, and it's only been one day; there's not that much to reveal yet.

With a seer and two defenders still alive, and potentially one in the seer's private chat, it might be best not to lynch anyone this round. I don't know if Pengu will allow us to not lynch anyone on purpose. If we start voting, I'll probably wait a bit to make a decision.

In that post, probably the most significant thing is

I could definitely see how Tau's death points to the werewolf being an experienced werewolf player. But with three werewolves, it was very likely from the get-go that at least one wouldn't be a noob.

Unfortunately...not a whole lot to go on there, aside from 'at least one of the wolves is one of the usual suspects' (The Usual Suspects: Gerrick, Hydra, Aragonn, (sigh) Me, Lau).
Of these suspects, Hydra is already a target with 2 votes. And somehow, in my Deep Dive back into my own voting history (since now that it's day 3, I presume it's gloves-off between me and Lau so he's gonna start castigating me for not remembering my own previous moves), I find that I seem to go off on Hydra a lot. So I'm gonna sidestep that whole issue entirely, because I'm not about to board a wagon without rather more convincing evidence.
Instead, since reaction tests were brought up, I'm going to dig back deeper into a reaction I thought was fascinating.

Dare I say...conspiracy!

And diceroll my ass goes full conspiracy theory.

Vote: Doc

Is it weird of me to think that, in a 1:2:1 vote, where you're a 1, not the 2, you would decide that a retaliation vote to bring it to 2:2:1, rather than 1:2:1:1, is a weird move? It seems like it would be calculated to make me switch over to voting Ruguo in the interests of self-preservation - that or gambling on RNGesus, which is historically a bad move for me. Had it not been for Tau's vote on Moot bringing the RNGesus odds to 1 in 3, I absolutely would have made that switch. Without firm knowledge of Ruguo's identity, I can't definitively say 'Moot must be scum trying to get me to be the deciding vote on a villager lynch', but I kinda like the odds on this call.
Vote: Wintermoot.

This, on the other hand. Sure, I'm 'in the running' prior to your vote, but it's up to RNG (admittedly, generally working against me) and with 2 other people up on the chopping block. What it sounds like to me instead is direct action being taken against Ruguo, while using Laurentus' explanation and my natural fervor to keep myself alive as some sort of smokescreen.
Without any ability to know alignment at this juncture (outside of the wolves and defenders, neither of which have any reason to attack each other at this juncture; it's too early for wolves to try to bus someone for credibility), it's also pretty NAI...but I'm suspicious.
That said, your assessment that I'd like to stay alive is dead right, so I'm not going to act on this suspicion yet.

Hmm. Wait. Shit. I'd forgotten this.
And in light of Aragonn again going in as the second vote on someone without all that convincing an argument being laid out, that looks pretty sketch to me.
I'm gonna look like a flip-flopping moron here with 2 posts in 5 minutes where I go off on someone but hell with it, Vote: Aragonn.

Honestly, you have a more convincing argument to vote for Wintermoot. It got me convinced to switch my vote over to him. But then I saw you swap over to me. Was it not I who voiced their suspicion that one of the wolves is a member of my house? With very little actually catching my eye, and a vote already cast for one of my remaining brothers, I figured it was as good a chance at nailing them as any before they could do more damage.

Soooooooooooo. While I didn't forget to vote on Day 1, I did manage to completely forget to on Day 2.

Oops.

Gerrick so far has been the only one consistently not voting himself which, at this point could go either way. Aragonn on the other hand seems to have a tendency to pile.

I'm going to vote Aragonn because that willingness to pile strikes me as the most suspicious so far.

Same could be said about you, buddy.

Same could be said about you, buddy.

Except I haven't piled my vote on anyone in the first two days, so no.

Same could be said about you, buddy.

Except I haven't piled my vote on anyone in the first two days, so no.

Except you just did pile your vote. And it seems like you've completely ignored the suspicions and reasonings of other people. You've put less thought and effort into your vote than I did.

Same could be said about you, buddy.

Except I haven't piled my vote on anyone in the first two days, so no.

Except you just did pile your vote. And it seems like you've completely ignored the suspicions and reasonings of other people. You've put less thought and effort into your vote than I did.

Having different suspicions doesn't mean ignoring others' suspicions, and the length of the stretch you're making to try to make me seem the suspicious one is just further convincing me that you're scummy.

Same could be said about you, buddy.

Except I haven't piled my vote on anyone in the first two days, so no.

Except you just did pile your vote. And it seems like you've completely ignored the suspicions and reasonings of other people. You've put less thought and effort into your vote than I did.

Having different suspicions doesn't mean ignoring others' suspicions, and the length of the stretch you're making to try to make me seem the suspicious one is just further convincing me that you're scummy.

Yes because a person defending themselves from getting voted off automatically makes them scum. Hey everyone! Vote for me! I'm the guy you want!

Same could be said about you, buddy.

Except I haven't piled my vote on anyone in the first two days, so no.

Except you just did pile your vote. And it seems like you've completely ignored the suspicions and reasonings of other people. You've put less thought and effort into your vote than I did.

Having different suspicions doesn't mean ignoring others' suspicions, and the length of the stretch you're making to try to make me seem the suspicious one is just further convincing me that you're scummy.

Yes because a person defending themselves from getting voted off automatically makes them scum. Hey everyone! Vote for me! I'm the guy you want!

Hmm. I'm not buying it, Aragonn. You didn't merely try to defend yourself. You tried to drop some of that suspicion on Melehan in the process.

I merely pointed out the hypocrisy of his reasoning.