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Night Kill Analysis rarely gets good results, because it's The Wine in Front of Me personified. Tau would definitely have been the target I would have gone for as a Wolf too, because he's dangerous in the long run, but wasn't prominent enough to stand a good chance of being defended from a kill. I'm not sure there's anything more to it than that.

That said, I would also like to hear from Mathy.

You've already heard from me. I had no reason to lie to you. It was day 1. I can pull some bullcrap out my behind later in the game, but day 1 is day 1.

It's possible that he was voted off to make me look suspicious, since the only thing he did was vote for me. It could be that I've started raising too many questions about certain people in this game, but directly killing me off would be too obvious.

Laurentus's theory is also possible, and that would imply that at least one of the wolves are experienced specifically in our games and knows who would be dangerous in the long run, given that nobody could infer that from the one thing he did in this game.

Yeah, it is unlikely to be a noob, unless they have read up on previous games.

That is an interesting death to see and pretty smart for those reasons.  I actually might have targeted a different experienced player if I was a wolf; although I understand the reasoning behind targeting taulover.

I don't really have much in the way of suspicions yet so I will wait and watch the dialogue.

Speaking of those people, I want o hear from @Mathyland because I see her on the discord and maybe she forgot about the forums, or maybe she's just laying low.

*him/he

I haven't been as active on the forums as the Discord, but it was mostly that I don't see much point to discussion on the first day. You either get targeted by an inexperienced wolf who decides to kill the first person who talks, or you get suspicion thrown around the first day. This is why I am usually silent on the first day.

I could definitely see how Tau's death points to the werewolf being an experienced werewolf player. But with three werewolves, it was very likely from the get-go that at least one wouldn't be a noob.

I don't think anything so far has been super revealing. Doc and Lau made that truce before the game started, Wintermoot seemed like a random enough vote, and it's only been one day; there's not that much to reveal yet.

With a seer and two defenders still alive, and potentially one in the seer's private chat, it might be best not to lynch anyone this round. I don't know if Pengu will allow us to not lynch anyone on purpose. If we start voting, I'll probably wait a bit to make a decision.

Well those who know to go after tau include Laurentus, Aragonn, and myself because House Valeria totally trusts one another.

RIP Tau.

I've noticed that @El Fiji Grande has become quite active around the community, but has not yet spoken in the game.

I haven't had much to say.

Sorry about misgendering you, Mathy. I'll make a note of that.

As to the experienced werewolf point, I would have to agree. The probability of having three noobs as wolves is very, very low. I'm sure someone could do the math, but alas, I'm too lazy.

As to the experienced werewolf point, I would have to agree. The probability of having three noobs as wolves is very, very low. I'm sure someone could do the math, but alas, I'm too lazy.

I only see one or two people who haven't played werewolf here before, so it looks like the chance is zero. Or if you broaden your definition of inexperienced, it is basically zero. So our "lead" about the werewolves being experienced isn't useful.

RIP Tau.

I've noticed that @El Fiji Grande has become quite active around the community, but has not yet spoken in the game.

I haven't had much to say.

I don't like this response. Has nothing interesting happened/have you not been following the game/do you have no opinions on the Tau kill?

Really, even a statement that you agree or disagree with someone would be cool.

So what happens if the day end with no votes? Because it's coming to an end here in like 12 hours and there are no fingers flying formally.

A House Valeria divided is an interesting game of cat and cat. A House Valeria unified is a near unstoppable force.

As Ruguo pointed out, there's only 11 hrs 33 minutes left in the phase!

We still don’t have any new information other than “tau’s dead”. I guess I’ll Vote: Red Mones.