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Werewolf VI: Until Dawn - The New Chapter
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Barnes
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  • Technically, since there are 18 people left over, and 4 of those are psychos, while the wendigo makes 5 baddies, everyone here has a 27.78% chance of being at least a baddie, while everyone has a 22.22% chance of being a psycho. So at the very least, we should be 22.22% certain any given suspect is the baddie, with the numbers as they are right now. 1/5 times we'd be right. And we still manage to be wrong. Every. Fucking. Time.
    I calculated a (19/25)*(18/24)*(15/20) = 42.75% chance of us having voted off three good guys in a row, given the circumstances of who already died.
    1 person likes this post: Laurentus
    Barnes
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    Lumenland
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  • I can't math ;-;
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    taulover
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  • Okay, I'll be going with the pseudo-abstain route here too. There simply isn't enough info to go off of. Thanks a lot, Stranger

    Vote: Bootsie
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    taulover
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    My detective skills aren't really up to par. It's also hard when some don't respond to accusations. (Though I kinda have been doing that myself. :P )
    Commander_Zemas
    Barnes
  • Former Citizen
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  • More IRC detective work!
    Quote from: IRC, 23:15-23:26 CST
    <Crushita>: I don't have the time for werewolf xD
    <Crushita>: Its hard to make a case when I can't follow the thread for the life of me xD
    Evelynx provides Crushita with 2 shrubberies
    Crushita accepts shrubberies
    <Evelynx>: with a little path going down the middle
    <Nox>: Which topic?
    <Nox>: Werewolf?
    <Evelynx>: yeah there are lots of posts in werewolf
    <Evelynx>: i made a script to count votes for me.. >.>
    <Crushita>: I might not even vote because I can't follow and just commit suicide xD
    <Evelynx>: really?
    <Crushita>: Its toooo muuuuuch
    <Crushita>: Tooooo muuuuuuuch
    <Evelynx>: I suppose we should choose a new target then
    <Crushita>: I'm still considering it obviously, its not a choice to take lightly
    <Evelynx>: waaiitt
    <Crushita>: But its too hard to follow this flipping thread xD
    <Crushita>: I don't have the time xD
    <Evelynx>: well
    <Crushita>: Seriously though, I was not expecting SO MANEH POSTS
    <Evelynx>: well well welll
    <Crushita>: I can't make an informed choice
    <Evelynx>: yeah it's my fault
    <Evelynx>: i post so much
    <Evelynx>: =(
    <Crushita>: And it annoys the potato out of me.
    <Evelynx>: the psychos haven't killed anyone
    <Crushita>: Because I don't want to play if I don't know what I'm doing xD
    <Evelynx>: so it's been hard
    <Crushita>: I'm confused enough as it is xD
    <Chanku>: ...D-Pants
    <Crushita>: Its my first game and I'm just like "What are you doing, what are you saying, how did you come to this? Why does everyone hate me, staph eeeet"
    <Crushita>: I'm sitting here trying to survive and I swear everyone is trying their hardest to kill me xD
    <Evelynx>: yep
    <Evelynx>: you're going down bitch
    <Evelynx>: =)
    <Crushita>: Yaaaaay.
    <Evelynx>: sigh
    <Crushita>: Deaaath. Sweeeeet deaaath.
    <Evelynx>: but if i'm honest in my gut
    <Evelynx>: i don't think you're a psychopath.. -_-
    <Crushita>: I no longer have to follow the mess of that thread xD
    <Evelynx>: i think we're just going to kill another friend
    <Evelynx>: like always
    <Crushita>: Tis how this game works it seems xD
    <Crushita>: Only psychopath thats gone down was killed by the Wendigo xD
    <Evelynx>: yeah that wendigo
    <Crushita>: We do more harm then good to ourselves xD
    <Barnes>: evelynx, you realize everyone is on watching you
    <Evelynx>: highly effective psychopath killer
    <Evelynx>: i don't care
    <Evelynx>: yeesh
    <Evelynx>: everyone dies, it's werewolf.
    <Crushita>: I have no doubts that this little log will be posted to the thread xD
    <Crushita>: Indeed. Why wait
    <Evelynx>: =p
    <Evelynx>: i mean, i don't think anyone wants to see me gone though
    <Barnes>: the question is why you would have an incentive to die
    <Evelynx>: to the psyuchos i'm inept and guiding votes to the wrong people
    <Barnes>: because of the goal of the game is to outnumber the friends if you're the psychos
    <Crushita>: Because I don't want to waste my time trying to follow this thread
    <Barnes>: and to eliminate the psychos/wendigo if you're the friend
    <Evelynx>: to the friends i'm .. i dunno, annoying =p
    <Evelynx>: i want to get rid of the psychos
    <Evelynx>: and if i use my reasoning faculties, crushita seems the best bet
    <Crushita>: I feel drained trying to keep up with it.
    <Evelynx>: if i use my heart
    <Evelynx>: he doesn't.
    <Crushita>: I might go the pseudo-abstain route if I feel I can keep up with the game.
    <Crushita>: I mean, it IS the weekend.
    <Crushita>: Perhaps I'll wait a few days before taking the easy way out
    <Evelynx>: i don't want to die, but I really don't think I'm going to get voted off this round, and there's nothing i can do about it fi the psychos want ot kill me..
    <Crushita>: Or maybe you'll just lynch me xD
    <Crushita>: If I survive then I'm the luckiest bugger alive XD
    <Evelynx>: there's just nothing to go on.
    <Crushita>: GOSH DANG YOU STRAAANGERRRR

    Quote from: IRC, 23:27 CST
    <Evelynx>: this is all part of an elaborate ploy to flush out the psychopaths by sacrificing myself
    <Evelynx>: of course.. of course..
    Barnes
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    Lumenland
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  • I think in order to get rid of all the baddies, we just need some good luck foofs
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    Laurentus
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  • Oh, man, this is just the best. :P

    You should really post this in the IRC quotes topic too, haha.
    In die donker ure skink net duiwels nog 'n dop, 
    Satan sit saam sy kinders en kyk hoe kom die son op. 
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    Laurentus
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    Arenado
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  • I now fully suspect Evelynx. As such, I vote for Evelynx.
    I Hope You Have A Nice Day :]
    Arenado
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    Barnes
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  • Oh, man, this is just the best. :P

    You should really post this in the IRC quotes topic too, haha.
    Which part? :P
    Barnes
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    Laurentus
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  • Like. Everything! :P
    In die donker ure skink net duiwels nog 'n dop, 
    Satan sit saam sy kinders en kyk hoe kom die son op. 
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    Laurentus
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    Laurentus
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  • Here is a link to it. :P
    In die donker ure skink net duiwels nog 'n dop, 
    Satan sit saam sy kinders en kyk hoe kom die son op. 
    • Count of Highever
    Laurentus
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    Barnes
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  • Barnes
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    Lumenland
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  • I'm still gonna vote for North, sowwy
    Lumenland
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    Rasdanation
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  • Vote: Lumenland
    Reason: I'd rather not abstain, and not risk having to vote next time, and I doubt this far into the voting phase people would bandwagon onto her, sorry.
    Degree of Certainty: 10% again just as a reminder, this is just acting as a filler vote to avoid abstaining

    It's okay, I'm not angry, I understand you just need a filler vote!
    Well, it's better news than people thinking that you are evil  ^-^
    T'was the year of Wintreath!
    Rasdanation
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    Lumenland
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  • I promise I'm not evil ;-;
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